Hawthorne Gold Cup Day Analysis

Today is the biggest day of the fall meet: Hawthorne Gold Cup Day!  Of course, I have wall-to-wall analysis.

Over at Danonymous Racing, I have a full preview of today’s card at Hawthorne.  I look at every race, top to bottom, as well as point out my best bet of the day as well as my longshot.  As well befits a Hawthorne card, I really like a longshot in the finale!

At ShapperDaCapper, my latest Chicago Railbird takes a horse-by-horse deep dive into the featured race, the Grade II Hawthorne Gold Cup.

On the latest episode of Racetrackers, I also did a preview of the Gold Cup, as well as some fun racing chatter.  My segment starts at 57:40, but make sure to listen to the whole show, as both Jim Miller (from Hawthorne!) and Candice Hare are guests this week as well!

There are three stakes total on the card: the Gold Cup, the Pershing Handicap, and the Blackhawk Handicap.  Over at Picks and Ponderings, both Paul Mazur and I give our take on all three stakes on the card.

Scratches and changes are out at Hawthorne, and they have affected a few of my selections.

Helooksthepart has scratched out of the Blackhawk Handicap (Race 3).  With him out of the field, Luv Bandit moves into the frame — and, in fact, rockets right to the role of the top selection.  The track remains wetter than expected, and he owns a 5-3-1-0 line over off dirt.  He is the only horse in the field, other than the scratched Helooksthepart, with known wet-track form.  He also comes in for his second start off a summer break, and can place himself forward in a short field.

Second choice Coolride has scratched from Race 10, as well.  That makes my selections Strategic Game (6), Rip Roarin Ritchie (8), and Faithful Gift (9).  Other than (somewhat) Rip Roarin Ritchie, none of the chalks have the least shred of appeal here.  So, why not another bomb?  If Killian Hennessy doesn’t send Rip Roarin Ritchie (a likely circumstance, given how he has been riding), Faithful Gift could get the lead.  Grand Procession (the other possible frontrunner) scratched, and he gets a switch from Killian Hennessy to a better front-end rider in Juan Molina.  He should be sharper second off the lay, and faces easier than last out.

Good luck, and enjoy Gold Cup Day!

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.