It is just about post time, so the analysis is far briefer than usual, but for anyone who may have missed me on the Hawthorne pre-race show — these are my picks for today. I’ll be on Twitter throughout the day; if you have any questions about individual horses, or my logic, send me a tweet at @rogueclown, or leave a comment here.
Good luck today!
Race 1: U S Fever (3), Itscoldoutsidebaby (1), Ya Mon (4)
Ya Mon rates for undersides, but as a 22nd-start maiden, has little appeal on top.
Race 2: Lady Ice (2), War Facts (1), Fayreen (7)
Lady Ice and War Facts are my top two win choices by far. There is a lot of speed, but if speed holds strongly, Fayreen looks the fastest early, and drops in class.
Race 3: Betty Grables Legs (7), Henry’s Song (5), Shadow Valley (6)
This race has almost no dirt form of which to speak, and Betty Grables Legs has actually won twice on dirt. Henry’s Song, at least, is first-time dirt.
Race 4: Call Me Courageous (4), Be Good to Us (3), Dulcimer Sound (5)
Call Me Courageous showed good speed last out, making him particularly dangerous if sleed holds well.
Race 5: Devil and a Half (2), Lethal (6), Revelation Bowl (3)
This race has almost no speed on paper, making Devil and a Half a threat to wire this field.
Race 6: Shanghai Red (3), Superstar Leo (7), Western Elegance (2)
For my full analysis of this race, read the latest Chicago Railbird.
Race 7: Shame On the Night (5), My Moment (3), Lake Snow (7)
Shame On the Night has a lot of open wins in protected company at Fairmount, making her a clever condition book pick at a price. Three Tootsies (4) will be the heavy favourite, but loves to finish second. She is a key underneath in exotics, but has no appeal on the win end.
Race 8: What’s In a Name (8), Legend In Time (2), Sing Kitty Sing (9)
Even with the scratch of Dennie’s Dream, there is still a lot of pace , and What’s In a Name stands to tuck in right behind and acatch them when they tire. Morning line favourite Lydia’s Angel (6) is worth covering in any ticket that spreads here in a multi-race bet, but these top three appeal just as much, for better prices.