2015 fantasy stable: week 9 postmortem

Last week was yet another claiming week in the Derbyologist Triple Crown Fantasy League.  Again, I had some thinking to do.

Instant Replay was quite an easy toss; as much as I liked his Oaklawn allowance win, his spotty presence on the worktab and his failure to turn up in either the Southwest or the Rebel meant I needed to move on and find someone else to take the spot he had occupied since the first claiming period.

Other decisions required a bit more thought.  I had spent the biggest chunk of my claiming budget to date (a whole $37!) on Kentuckian, and he was back to burning up the worktab at Golden Gate, but his connections had made it quite clear that he was heading to an allowance next.  That left precious little time for him to point to a stakes race during the term of the league; asking him to win an allowance race and then ship east for a points race seemed like more than The Dorf was likely to do with him between now and June.  The 7.4% of my season’s budget I spent on Kentuckian was a sunk cost, and I was not going to gain anything by keeping him there instead of looking for a horse more likely to be in a points race.  Where’s the Moon also found himself on the chopping block, albeit for different reasons.  I claimed him specifically because he had won the Mine That Bird Derby at Sunland, and had a shot to hit the board in the Sunland Derby (GIII).  He did as much as I could expect him to do; he won the race for second behind Firing Line.  He is a solid Sunland horse, but his class is questionable to take him any further down the Derby trail.  With some more class-proven horses still available, I had to do the same thing with Where’s the Moon as I had to with Kentuckian: turn an eye toward the future.

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2015 fantasy stable: week 8 postmortem

The last two weeks of fantasy stable action have brought us back to a familiar refrain: a significant lack of on-track action by my horses.

Among the horses in my stable entering that claiming period, only three of my horses were clear keepers.  Keen Ice has been actively training for the Louisiana Derby, and the longer races for which he is best suited still lie ahead.  Ekati’s Phaeton has punched her ticket to the Kentucky Oaks, and though distance limitations remain a possibility, her gameness and her affinity for the Gulfstream track make her a must-keep.  Ami’s Flatter improved with blinkers and Lasix in the Tampa Bay Derby last out, and could threaten in another prep down the road.

The rest of my stable was on the chopping block leading into the March 9 claim.

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